# SPDX-License-Identifier: AGPL-3.0-or-later """Calibration thresholds for the attribution engine — every magic number lives here, named, with the calibration source cited. v0 values are heuristic. Real calibration ships when red-team exercises produce labelled trace data (``ATTRIBUTION-ENGINE.md`` §"Out of scope"). Until then these constants are the engine's only knobs; aggregate.py never embeds a literal. """ from __future__ import annotations # ── Categorical merger ──────────────────────────────────────────────── # Last-N window size for the categorical state machine. 5 calibrates # against typical session counts (most attackers are observed < 10 # times before they go quiet — ATTRIBUTION-ENGINE.md §"Open question # 2"). Operators with long-running attackers will want a wider window # in v1. CATEGORICAL_WINDOW_N = 5 # Minimum observations before the merger emits anything other than # ``unknown``. Below this floor the state machine has no signal. MIN_OBSERVATIONS_FOR_STATE = 3 # Categorical merger is one-outlier-tolerant: in a window of N=5, the # state is ``stable`` if at least ``MAJORITY_THRESHOLD`` agree. CATEGORICAL_MAJORITY_THRESHOLD = 4 # ── Numeric merger ──────────────────────────────────────────────────── # EWMA smoothing factor for numeric primitives. 0.3 weights recent # observations enough to surface drift quickly without flapping on # single outliers. NUMERIC_EWMA_ALPHA = 0.3 # Coefficient-of-variation thresholds: dispersion / |mean|. NUMERIC_STABLE_DISPERSION_PCT = 0.20 # < 20% of mean → stable NUMERIC_DRIFT_MEAN_SHIFT_PCT = 0.30 # mean moved > 30% → drifting NUMERIC_CONFLICT_DISPERSION_PCT = 1.0 # > 100% of mean → conflicted # ── Hash merger ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────── # Rotations within HASH_DRIFT_WINDOW count toward state transitions. # Below DRIFT_MAX → drifting; above → conflicted. The values mirror the # DEBT-032 fingerprint-rotation calibration — bumped by one because # the attribution engine takes one rotation as evidence-of-life, not # yet evidence-of-drift. HASH_DRIFT_MAX = 2 HASH_DRIFT_WINDOW_SECS = 24 * 60 * 60 # 24h # ── Multi-actor cap ─────────────────────────────────────────────────── # multi_actor confidence is capped to keep the dashboard honest about # how noisy this signal is. ATTRIBUTION-ENGINE.md §"Open question 1": # flapping primitives on flaky networks look like two operators. MULTI_ACTOR_MAX_CONFIDENCE = 0.6 # ── Cross-primitive correlator (Phase 5) ────────────────────────────── # Minimum number of primitives that must independently flag # ``multi_actor`` for the same identity before # ``attribution.profile.multi_actor_suspected`` fires. MULTI_ACTOR_MIN_PRIMITIVES = 2 # Tick interval for the periodic walk in # :mod:`decnet.correlation.attribution_worker`. Configurable via env # var in v1; hardcoded in v0. MULTI_ACTOR_TICK_SECS = 60.0