Commit Graph

11 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
75af00c9c8 test(clustering): full-bound passes through production campaign clusterer
Runs the chained identity + campaign clustering pipeline against all
seven fixtures via from_synthetic / from_synthetic_identity adapters
and ratchets every YAML floor to 1.0 — the production clusterer
(and the reference clusterers used in the per-fixture tests) all
score perfectly across ARI / homogeneity / completeness /
singleton_recall on each fixture.

Three substrate fixes surfaced by the ratchet:

- Tuning: shared_infra now Jaccards payload+C2 only; decky_set moved
  into cohort_weight to prevent fleet-scarcity false-merges (F1's
  shared_wordlist failure mode). Tier weight raised to 1.0 so
  shared payload+C2 alone crosses threshold (F5's intended pass).
- Adapter: from_synthetic_identity now reads SyntheticSession
  started_at + duration_s for session_windows and per-decky
  timestamps (the production-row adapter still uses start_ts/end_ts
  when available).
- Fixture data: paused_campaign.yaml's JA3 collided exactly with
  vpn_hopping.yaml's (same TLS extension list). The collision
  fused two unrelated campaigns under the chained identity layer
  in the noise_floor composite. Made paused's JA3 distinct.

Also wires Campaign / CampaignsResponse into models/__init__.py's
__all__ that was missed in the schema commit.
2026-04-26 09:13:59 -04:00
6936a1426c feat(clustering): campaign-clusterer worker + bus topics + CLI
The campaign clusterer worker mirrors the identity-side worker shell
(bus connect, heartbeat, control listener, slow-tick fallback) but
wakes on identity.> instead of attacker.> — campaign-level work is
gated on identity-layer changes, not raw observations.

The connected-components implementation reads identities via
list_identities_for_clustering, projects them with from_identity_row,
runs union-find over combined_campaign_weight, writes campaigns rows,
sets attacker_identities.campaign_id, and runs the same revocable-
merge pass as the identity layer (a merged-out campaign whose
identities no longer co-cluster with the winner gets revoked).

Bus: adds campaign.> family (formed / identity.assigned / merged /
unmerged) plus the cross-family identity.campaign.assigned so
existing identity-stream subscribers see the badge update without
having to subscribe to campaign.>. Wiki Service-Bus.md updated in
wiki-checkout in the same wave per the project's bus-signals
discipline.

CLI: decnet campaign-clusterer registered as master-only via
MASTER_ONLY_COMMANDS; --poll-interval / --daemon mirror the identity
clusterer command surface.
2026-04-26 09:04:00 -04:00
0946bab424 feat(clustering): campaign-level similarity primitives
The signal taxonomy for the campaign clusterer (next commit). Mirror
of the identity-layer module but with edge families that don't
translate 1:1: phase-handoff (load-bearing for F5 multi_operator —
the signal the identity-side fingerprint-disagreement veto deliberately
isn't), shared-infra (vetoed at identity level, primary positive
signal here), temporal-overlap (pairwise-relative — F7 invariance
preserved), cohort (weak supporting weight only).

Tier weights tuned so phase-handoff alone crosses threshold (F5),
shared-infra + temporal-overlap together cross (canonical co-op
pattern), and shared-infra + cohort together do NOT (F1
shared_wordlist's failure mode). The F7 time-shift invariant is
explicitly tested on every time-bearing edge and on the combined
weight.
2026-04-26 08:57:46 -04:00
e364ef8859 feat(clustering): revocable merges (merge + unmerge)
Reworks the clusterer's tick to handle multi-identity components and
re-evaluate prior merges. Two passes per tick:

Pass 1 — per-component reconciliation:
  * Fresh component → mint identity (commit 4 path).
  * Single-identity component → link unassigned observations.
  * Multi-identity component → soft-merge: pick the smallest-uuid
    winner deterministically, set merged_into_uuid on each loser,
    link unassigned observations to the winner. Observations stay
    FK'd to their original identity row — the merge is a soft
    pointer, not a re-point. Audit trail preserved; cached
    subscribers resolve through the chain.

Pass 2 — revocable-merge undo:
  * For each merged-out identity, check whether its observations
    still cluster with its winner's. If not, the merge is
    contradicted by new evidence — clear merged_into_uuid and emit
    identities_unmerged. The resurrected identity keeps its original
    uuid, so subscribers that cached it during the merged interval
    re-attach without a new lookup.

A pre-built merge-chain dict feeds Pass 1 so the effective-identity
lookup is O(1) per observation. The chain has a hop cap (paranoia
against accidental cycles in the underlying state).

Repo additions on BaseRepository + SQLModelRepository:
  * list_all_identities() — includes merged-out rows.
  * update_identity_merged_into(uuid, winner_or_None) — single
    setter for both merge and unmerge.
DummyRepo coverage stub updated.

Tests:
  * Two distinct identities bridged by a new observation merge with
    the smaller uuid as winner.
  * A pre-seeded soft-merge whose underlying observations diverge
    gets revoked; resurrected uuid emerges with merged_into_uuid
    cleared.
  * Tick is idempotent under no state changes.
2026-04-26 08:33:32 -04:00
ed323581fe feat(clustering): fingerprint-disagreement veto for fixture 5
Two operators cooperating on one campaign can share C2 endpoints +
stage-1 payloads while running distinct tooling — fixture 5
(multi_operator) is the canonical demonstration. The identity
clusterer must NOT fuse them: shared infra is a campaign-level
signal, not an identity-level one. The campaign clusterer (downstream
work) handles that grouping over identities.

Mechanism: when two observations have non-null fingerprints AND the
fingerprints fully disagree, the high-weight tier drops the payload
and C2 contributions to zero. JA3 / HASSH agreement still returns
1.0 directly — no veto applies when something agrees. Partial
agreement (one slot agrees, another disagrees) is treated as
agreement, since stable-tool partial overlap is more consistent
with one identity than two.

The veto only triggers when there is actual disagreement evidence —
two un-fingerprinted observations sharing a C2 still cluster, since
the absence of fingerprints is not the same as disagreement on them.

Fixture 5 production-clusterer assertion added at identity level:
ARI = 1.0, homogeneity = 1.0, exactly 2 predicted clusters from
2 truth identities. Phase-handoff edges (from the TODO) belong to
the downstream campaign clusterer, not this identity clusterer.
2026-04-26 08:24:22 -04:00
f7da33726c feat(clustering): combined edge weight + medium-tier wiring
The clusterer now drops a single high-tier function call in favor of
a tier-weighted sum. Tier multipliers (high=1.0, medium=0.6, low=0.2,
very_low=0.05) are tuned so the threshold (1.0) admits high-tier
agreement alone while leaving every weaker tier — and every
combination of weaker tiers — under threshold.

Per-tier discipline tested:
- high alone clusters
- medium alone does NOT cluster (supporting signal only)
- low alone does NOT cluster (fixture 1's failure mode)
- very-low alone does NOT cluster (fixture 2's failure mode)
- all three weak tiers stacked still don't reach threshold
- high + medium clusters (high already saturates)

The combination is forward-compatible: low + very-low contributions
are computed today but always project to 0.0 because the production
adapter doesn't populate credentials / ASN-edge inputs into the
fixture path yet. Their contribution becomes load-bearing in commit 7
when the low-tier landing tightens the F1 / F2 bounds.

Fixture 4 (paused_campaign) ratchet added: high-tier signal carries
the multi-day-silence campaign into one identity. Time-agnostic
invariant — silence is irrelevant to the edge weight.
2026-04-26 08:22:10 -04:00
de2f4c3a62 feat(clustering): wire high-weight edges end-to-end
The connected-components clusterer now writes attacker_identities
rows + sets attackers.identity_id when high-weight signals (JA3 /
HASSH / payload-hash / C2-endpoint exact match) agree across
observations. Singletons stay un-fingerprinted and un-clustered.

Algorithm split:
- cluster_observations(observations) — pure union-find over the
  high-weight edge function. Same code path for fixture validation
  and production tick.
- from_attacker_row(row) — production-row adapter; recovers JA3 +
  HASSH from Attacker.fingerprints JSON. Payload + C2 join from
  logs in later commits; the function shape doesn't change.

Repo additions on BaseRepository + SQLModelRepository:
- list_attackers_for_clustering(limit=None)
- create_attacker_identity(row)
- set_attacker_identity_id(attacker_uuid, identity_uuid)
DummyRepo coverage stub updated.

v1 behavior is conservative: only assigns identities to observations
whose identity_id is currently NULL. Multi-identity components are
skipped this pass — merge / re-assign lands in commit 10 with
revocable merges.

Fixture bounds tightened against the production clusterer:
- lone_wolf (F3) — singletons stay singletons
- shared_wordlist (F1) — credential-only overlap doesn't cluster
  (high-weight tier doesn't include credentials)
- vpn_hopping (F2, identity-level) — 5 rotated IPs with stable JA3
  + HASSH fold into one identity, ARI = 1.0, completeness = 1.0
2026-04-26 08:19:56 -04:00
a9775c4000 feat(clustering): similarity-graph primitives
Adds the four weight-tier edge functions as pure, time-agnostic
scoring primitives over an Observation projection. Each returns a
score in [0, 1]; the connected-components impl will combine + threshold
in subsequent commits.

Tier semantics (from IDENTITY_RESOLUTION.md):
- high   — JA3/HASSH/payload-hash/C2-endpoint exact match
- medium — phase-bucketed command-sequence Jaccard
- low    — credential-attempt-set Jaccard (defeated alone by F1)
- very low — ASN equality (defeated alone by F2)

Time-agnostic invariant is a static test: Observation has no time
fields, so no edge function can silently start using them. Fixture 7
forbids recency-decay clustering on multi-month APT campaigns.

A from_synthetic() adapter projects SyntheticAttacker corpora into
Observation; the production-row adapter lands when the clusterer
starts reading the attackers table.
2026-04-26 08:13:29 -04:00
fb522af107 feat(bus): reserve identity.unmerged topic
Revocable merges (a contradiction-driven undo of identity.merged) ship
in the clusterer work; this reserves the topic up-front so identity.>
subscribers receive it day one without a re-subscribe.

The clusterer worker's ClusterResult fan-out now publishes on
identity.unmerged when populated. The skeleton clusterer never
populates it; the revocable-merge commit will.

Wiki update lives in wiki-checkout/Service-Bus.md (separate repo).
2026-04-26 08:10:56 -04:00
e545f7d8d3 feat(clustering): identity clusterer worker skeleton
Adds the decnet clusterer master-only command + provider-subpackage
shape (base.py + factory.py + impl/connected_components.py) so
subsequent commits can land similarity-graph features without
churning callers.

The skeleton ConnectedComponentsClusterer.tick is a no-op; the
worker shell is fully wired (bus consumer on attacker.observed +
attacker.scored, slow-tick fallback, health heartbeat, control
listener, ClusterResult fan-out to identity.formed/observation.linked
/merged). Subscribers on identity.> see no events from this clusterer
until edge functions land, but the lifecycle is in place.
2026-04-26 08:09:11 -04:00
00254629f8 feat(clustering): UKC phase enum + synthetic campaign factory + metric harness
Pre-implementation scaffolding for campaign clustering. The simulator is
the spec — algorithm code follows once fixtures + metrics are stable.

* decnet/clustering/ukc.py — UKCPhase enum (19 phases across In/Through/Out
  stages), OBSERVABLE_PHASES set, stage_of() helper. Vocabulary aligns
  with future MITRE ATT&CK tagging so synthetic data and runtime phase
  inference don't need renaming when TTP-tagging lands.
* tests/factories/campaign_factory.py — YAML DSL parser + deterministic
  generator emitting truth-labeled SyntheticAttacker / SyntheticSession
  records. Validates phase names, warns on unobservable phases, supports
  multi-campaign + noise corpora.
* tests/clustering/metrics.py — pure-Python ARI / homogeneity /
  completeness / singleton_recall (no sklearn dep). Decided before any
  algorithm exists, on purpose.
* tests/fixtures/campaigns/lone_wolf.{yaml,expected.yaml} — fixture 3
  from the design doc; simplest of the six, exercises the full pipeline
  with an identity-clusterer placeholder.
* development/CAMPAIGN_CLUSTERING.md — design spec for the feature.
* development/DEVELOPMENT_V2.md — note on DSL evolution path
  (concurrent phases, multi-actor per phase) deferred post-v1.
2026-04-26 06:29:10 -04:00